AI upskilling trap: older workers priced out, Gen Z lacks critical thinking

University of Canberra AI expert Ryan Payne says workers over 50 are unlikely to retrain for AI-heavy roles, while employers see under-25s as over-reliant on AI. The federal government's 'jobs created, not lost' promise ignores reality: roles are changing faster than workers can adapt.

AI upskilling trap: older workers priced out, Gen Z lacks critical thinking

The upskilling math does not work

Prime Minister Anthony Albanese said in July he wanted AI to create jobs, not destroy them. University of Canberra AI expert Ryan Payne called that "lots of huff and puff."

The reality: workers nearing retirement will not spend two years retraining for AI-adjacent roles. Payne's assessment is blunt. "Older workers, particularly those nearing retirement, are unlikely to take on hefty upskilling requirements, which would leave them behind professionally."

Meanwhile, workers under 25 face the opposite problem. Employers perceive them as over-familiar with AI, lacking the critical thinking that comes from doing the work manually first. That perception is killing entry-level hiring across tech sales roles.

The blacksmith problem

Payne compared the shift to the horseless carriage. "We no longer needed many blacksmiths. This is an old concept." The question is not whether jobs disappear. The question is whether workers can transition fast enough.

For sales professionals, the implications are clear. AI tools for prospecting, lead generation, and qualification are already standard. SDRs who cannot use them are not getting hired. AEs who rely entirely on them are not hitting quota.

The skill gap is not technical. It is knowing when to override the AI, when to trust your read of a deal, when to pick up the phone instead of sending the automated sequence.

What this means for ANZ sales teams

Albanese's speech promised transparency and accountability frameworks. Details are expected after industry consultation. Payne is skeptical. "There is always an idea that we will have to keep upskilling jobs. That is not always realistic."

Australia's Fair Work and Privacy Acts allow workers to change employers if AI is not being used ethically. That matters for sales teams using AI for lead scoring, territory planning, or performance tracking. If your company is pushing AI adoption without clear guardrails, experienced reps will leave.

The market is split. Some teams are hiring AI-native SDRs at lower OTEs, betting on volume over experience. Others are paying premiums for AEs who can blend AI efficiency with deal intuition. Both strategies assume the role will not look the same in 18 months.

Payne's warning: "Whether we are going to lose jobs or not is not clear, but there is always an idea that we will have to keep upskilling." For sales professionals, that means picking which AI skills to learn and which human skills to defend. The window for that decision is closing.